“中等收入陷阱”及其对中国的警示意义

Middle Income Trap and Its Warning on China

  • 摘要: 在世界经济史上,许多国家在进入中等收入阶段后,通常会面临着“中等收入陷阱”的问题,即经济发展缓慢甚至倒退,社会动荡不安。墨西哥的“中等收入陷阱”问题在拉美国家中具有典型性。然而,东亚的一些国家却通过技术创新、促进社会公平、构建现代政府等,成功跨越了中等收入陷阱,进入富裕国家之列。当前,中国已迈入中等收入国家行列,应该以拉美特别是墨西哥为镜鉴,合理吸收东亚日本等国家的优秀经验,未雨绸缪,避免掉入“中等收入陷阱”。

     

    Abstract: In the economic history of the world, many countries were often fronted with the Middle Income Trap problem when they were in the middle income level, namely slow economic development and even recession or turbulent society. Mexico is a case in point in Latin America Countries (LACs). However, some East Asian countries went beyond the middle income trap and became high income countries through technological innovation, promotion of social justice and construction of modern government. At present, entering into the ranks of middle income countries, China should learn especially lessons from Mexico and other LACs, reasonably absorb East Asian countries’ experience such as Japan, and finally avoid the middle income trap.

     

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