绿色信贷能否促进碳减排?兼论金融“双化协同”的影响

Can Green Credit Promote Carbon Reduction?Discussion on the Impact of “Dual Synergy” in Finance

  • 摘要: 绿色信贷兼具金融资源配置与环境规制双重功能,是助力实现“双碳”目标的政策工具,而数字技术的快速发展有效拓展了金融服务的广度和深度,为绿色信贷精准投放提供了新动能。文章借助2008~2020年省级面板数据,实证检验了绿色信贷减碳路径以及金融“双化协同”降碳效应,为从金融双化角度探寻降碳之策提供参考。研究结论如下:第一,绿色信贷具有显著碳减排效应,且存在滞后性;第二,异质性分析表明,投放规模较小地区绿色信贷碳减排效应总体更强,但投放规模较大地区滞后效应更强;市场化程度较高地区绿色信贷能够显著降低碳排放;中东部地区绿色信贷碳减排效应更强,而西部地区则表现出较好的政策滞后性;第三,绿色信贷主要通过产业结构升级、绿色技术创新、产业结构升级−能耗强度、绿色技术创新−能耗强度四条路径助力降碳;第四,金融“双化协同”对碳排放具有抑制作用。

     

    Abstract: Using provincial panel data from 2008 to 2020, this study empirically tested the carbon reduction path of green credit and the carbon reduction effect of financial “dual cooperation”, providing a reference for exploring carbon reduction strategies from the perspective of financial dual cooperation. The research conclusion is as follows: firstly, green credit has a significant carbon reduction effect and lags behind; Secondly, heterogeneity analysis shows that the carbon emission reduction effect of green credit is generally stronger in regions with smaller investment scales, but the lag effect is stronger in regions with larger investment scales; Green credit in regions with a high degree of marketization can significantly reduce carbon emissions; The carbon reduction effect of green credit in the central and eastern regions is stronger, but the western region shows better policy lag; Thirdly, green credit mainly helps reduce carbon emissions through four paths: industrial structure upgrading, green technology innovation, industrial structure upgrading - energy intensity, and green technology innovation - energy intensity; Fourthly, the “dual synergy” of finance has a restraining effect on carbon emissions.

     

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