数字经济对乡村振兴的赋能存在门槛吗?基于人力资本和工业规模视角

Are There Thresholds for the Empowerment of Rural Revitalization by the Digital Economy?Based on Human Capital and Industrial Scale Perspectives

  • 摘要: 数字经济已成为当前驱动乡村振兴的重要力量。从理论层面分析了数字经济赋能乡村振兴的作用和门槛条件,并基于省级数据使用面板模型进行实证检验。研究结果表明:数字经济能显著赋能乡村振兴,并主要通过数字基础设施与数字电商得以实现;数字经济对南方地区、城镇化率较低的地区以及高人力资本地区的乡村振兴赋能作用更为突出,且在乡村振兴政策实施之后的赋能作用更加明显;数字经济对乡村振兴的赋能并非简单的线性作用关系,而是存在以人力资本为门槛的双门槛效应和以工业规模为门槛的单门槛效应,当人力资本位于第一二门槛值之间、工业规模位于第一门槛值之前时,数字经济赋能乡村振兴的效果更为显著。基于此,应加快推进乡村数字基础设施建设、完善数字普惠金融体系、培育数字经济人才、促进工农融合协调发展,并因地制宜出台和实施相关政策。

     

    Abstract: The digital economy has become an important force driving rural revitalization. This paper first analyzes the role and threshold conditions of digital economy driving rural revitalization from a theoretical perspective, and then conducts empirical testing using a panel model based on provincial data. The research result indicates that the digital economy can significantly promote rural revitalization, primarily achieved through digital infrastructure and digital e-commerce. The digital economy plays a more prominent role in driving rural revitalization in southern regions, areas with lower urbanization rates, and areas with high human capital, and this empowering effect becomes even more evident after the implementation of rural revitalization policies. The empowering effect of the digital economy on rural revitalization is not a simple linear relationship. Instead, it exhibits a dual-threshold effect based on human capital and a single-threshold effect based on industrial scale. When human capital is situated between the first and second threshold and industrial scale is below the first threshold, the effect of the digital economy is more significant. Based on this, efforts should be made to accelerate the construction of rural digital infrastructure, improve the digital inclusive finance system, cultivate talent for the digital economy, promote the integration and coordinated development between industry and agriculture, and introduce and implement relevant policies tailored to local conditions.

     

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