人工智能、工业机器人与技能溢价

Artificial Intelligence, Industrial Robots and the Skills Premium

  • 摘要: 在人工智能迅猛发展及工业机器人广泛应用的背景下,其对技能溢价的影响备受瞩目。为解释人工智能与工业机器人应用对技能溢价的影响效果,文章构建包含人工智能和工业机器人的三层嵌套CES生产函数,从理论上推导其对技能溢价的作用机制。基于此理论模型,进行数值模拟分析。结果表明,当设定人工智能应用水平与工业机器人应用水平的不同比例关系时,技能溢价随人工智能应用水平提升呈现显著下降趋势。进一步分析发现,人工智能应用水平提升对高技能劳动力工资具有直接抑制作用,而工业机器人的影响效应相对有限。工业机器人应用对低技能劳动力工资的负向冲击更为显著,人工智能的影响则不明显。从技能溢价变化来看,人工智能应用具有降低技能溢价的直接效应,工业机器人应用则表现出提升技能溢价的趋势,但当两者应用水平均处于较高区间时,人工智能和工业机器人的交互作用会弱化工业机器人的正向效应,形成缩小技能溢价的协同机制。研究结果有助于深入理解人工智能和工业机器人对技能溢价的复杂影响,为政策制定提供理论依据,以实现更合理的收入分配。

     

    Abstract: Under the background of rapid development of artificial intelligence and widespread application of industrial robots, its impact on skill premium has attracted much attention. To explain the influence effect of artificial intelligence and industrial robot applications on skill premium, a three-layer nested CES production function including artificial intelligence and industrial robots was constructed, and the mechanism of its effect on skill premium was theoretically derived. Based on this theoretical model, numerical simulation analysis is carried out. The results show that when different proportional relationships between the application level of artificial intelligence and that of industrial robots are set, the skill premium shows a significant downward trend with the improvement of the application level of artificial intelligence. Further analysis reveals that the improvement in the application level of artificial intelligence has a direct inhibitory effect on the wages of highly skilled labor, while the impact effect of industrial robots is relatively limited. The negative impact of industrial robot applications on the wages of low-skilled labor is more significant, while the influence of artificial intelligence is not obvious. From the perspective of changes in skill premium, the application of artificial intelligence has a direct effect of reducing skill premium, while the application of industrial robots shows a trend of increasing skill premium. However, when the application levels of both are in a relatively high range, the interaction between artificial intelligence and industrial robots will weaken the positive effect of industrial robots, forming a synergistic mechanism that reduces skill premium. The research results are conducive to a deeper understanding of the complex impact of artificial intelligence and industrial robots on skill premiums, providing a theoretical basis for policy-making to achieve a more reasonable income distribution.

     

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