“宜居重庆”背景下的重庆房地产 财富效应检验

Testing the Wealth Effect of Real Estate under Livable Chongqing

  • 摘要: 为检验“宜居重庆”是否导致重庆房地产财富效应的变化,在生命周期理论下的财富效应模型中引入重要时间虚拟变量,依据2004年9月~2010年12月的月度数据,采用协整分析、邹氏断点检验等方法进行实证研究,发现:重庆存在较弱的负向财富效应,而建设“宜居重庆”后其负向财富效应有所减弱,表明区域性因素的持续变化会导致财富效应变化。

     

    Abstract: In order to test whether the "livable Chongqing" causes the changes of real estate wealth effect in Chongqing, the wealth effects model with an important time dummy variable is built under the life cycle theory. Based on the monthly data from September 2004 to December 2010, the empirical research is done by using cointegration analysis and Chow’s breakpoint testing. The results show that the wealth effect of Chongqing real estate is weaker negative, and the negative wealth effect becomes much smaller under "livable Chongqing ". It implies that the sustained changes in regional factors will lead to the change of wealth effect.

     

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