中国农村金融发展与农民收入 增长关系的实证分析

Evidential Analysis of Relationship between Chinese Rural Financial Development and Farmer’s Income

  • 摘要: 本文在对农村金融发展对农民收入增长的影响问题进行分析的基础上,站在农村金融发展的视角,结合农民收入的现实状况,从1978~2004年实际数据出发,对农村金融发展水平与农民收入增长的关系进行了实证研究。结果显示出:在1978~2004年间农户从业人员的就业结构变化、农产品收购价格指数和农村金融发展与农民收入增长之间呈正相关关系,而格兰杰因果检验结果表明,农村金融发展是农民收入增长的Granger原因,最后提出了农村金融发展促进农民收入增长的路径选择

     

    Abstract: This paper analyzes the impact of rural financial development on the increase of farmer’s income. On this basis, it does the evidential research between the two items according to the data of 1978 to 2004. The results show that in the years from 1978 to 2004, the change of rural employment structure, the purchasing price index of agriculture products and the rural financial development are positively related to the increase of farmer’s income. The Granger test results show that the rural financial development is the Granger cause of the increase of farmer’s income.

     

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