基于故障树分析法的危险化学品槽罐车运输事故应急救援预案完备性评估以福州市为例

Completeness Assessment of Emergency Plans for Hazardous Chemical Tanker Transportation Accidents Based onFault Tree Analysis MethodTaking Fuzhou City as an Example

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义为强化政府风险治理和应急准备规划,提升应急预案的质量和城市公共安全应急管理水平,运用故障树分析法(FTA)对应急预案的完备性进行评估。
    设计/方法 首先,以应急管理全过程理念为基础,建立标准故障树结构;其次,以福州市为例,将量化的标准故障树结构与该市现行的《危险化学品槽罐车运输事故应急救援预案》进行对照,对预案中缺失的基本事件进行排查,根据排查情况评估应急预案完备度;最后,依据完备度评估的逻辑分析过程和得出的量化结果,为该应急预案的优化提出了针对性的建议,也为相关领域内同类应急预案优化升级提供参考和借鉴。
    结论/发现可从应急预案的总则和总体分析、风险监测预警预防、善后工作、宣教培训与演练和预案的附件这五个方面对应急预案进行优化升级。

     

    Abstract: Purpose/Significance To strengthen government risk governance and emergency preparedness planning, and enhance the quality of emergency plans and the level of urban public safety emergency management, the fault tree analysis (FTA) method is applied to assess the completeness of emergency plans. Design/Methodology Firstly, a standard fault tree structure is established based on the concept of the whole process of emergency management; secondly, taking Fuzhou City as an example, the quantified standard fault tree structure is compared with the city’s existing Emergency Plans for Hazardous Chemical Tanker Transportation Accidents, and the missing basic events in the plan are investigated. The completeness of the emergency plan is assessed according to the investigation. Finally, the quantitative results of the completeness of the emergency plan are derived. Findings/Conclusions The emergency plan can be optimized and upgraded in following aspects: general rules and general analysis of the emergency plan, risk monitoring, warning and prevention, clean-up work, publicity, education, training and exercises, and annexes of the plan.

     

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