衡霞, 代晓旭. 地方财政与地方政府社会治理能力的关系研究—基于四川省1994~2014年的数据分析[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2017, 19(5): 34-43. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2017)05-0034-10
引用本文: 衡霞, 代晓旭. 地方财政与地方政府社会治理能力的关系研究—基于四川省1994~2014年的数据分析[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2017, 19(5): 34-43. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2017)05-0034-10
HENG Xia, DAI Xiao-xu. Research on the Time Series Relationship Between Local Finance and Local Government’s Social Governance Capability: Based on the Data Analysis of Sichuan Province in the Year of 1994~2014[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2017, 19(5): 34-43. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2017)05-0034-10
Citation: HENG Xia, DAI Xiao-xu. Research on the Time Series Relationship Between Local Finance and Local Government’s Social Governance Capability: Based on the Data Analysis of Sichuan Province in the Year of 1994~2014[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2017, 19(5): 34-43. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2017)05-0034-10

地方财政与地方政府社会治理能力的关系研究—基于四川省1994~2014年的数据分析

Research on the Time Series Relationship Between Local Finance and Local Government’s Social Governance Capability: Based on the Data Analysis of Sichuan Province in the Year of 1994~2014

  • 摘要: 地方政府社会治理能力是国家治理能力的子系统,地方财政的兴衰和安排直接关系着地方政府治理能力的强弱,地方财政支撑着地方政府职能的履行和治理能力的提升。基于四川省20年的数据,把地方政府社会治理能力划分为基本保障能力、宏观调控能力、财政能力和基层自治能力四个维度,运用时间序列回归分析法,借助Eviews分析软件测量地方财政与这四个维度的变量之间的关系,以此来探求地方财政与地方政府社会治理能力之间的关系。研究发现,地方财政与地方政府社会治理能力之间存在着长期均衡的稳定关系,其中:社会保障能力的增强依赖于地方财政投入的增加,财政能力的兴衰是地方财政支出增减的外在表现,宏观调控能力和地方财政之间存在着长期稳定的相关性,基层自治能力与地方财政之间存在着微弱的关系。重视地方政府治理能力中各项子能力的建设,以财政政策的方式来辅助地方政府的社会治理能力,有助于地方政府社会治理能力的提升。地方政府治理能力的提升是一个长期而漫长的过程,它需要地方政府不断在实践中探索完善,才能切实提高自身的治理能力,为社会提供更好的服务。

     

    Abstract: The social governance capacity of local government is a subsystem of national governance capacity, and local financial arrangements are directly related to the rise and fall of the local government’s governance ability. Local financial supports fulfill the functions of local government and enhance the governance capacity. This paper is based on the 20 years’ data of Sichuan Province to explore the relationship between local finance and local government social governance capacity. In this essay, the social governance capacity of local government is divided into four dimensions: basic guarantee ability, macro-control ability, financial ability, and the ability of grassroots self-government. Besides, it uses time series regression analysis method and takes Eviews analysis software to measure the relationship between the local finance and the four dimensions of variables. Eventually, the study finds that there exists a stable and long-term relationship between local finance and local government social governance capacity. What’s more, it finds strengthening the social security ability depends on the increasing finance input. In addition, the capacity of local financial investment is the external performance of finance output. Also, there is a long-term and stable correlation between macro-control capability and local finance. Last but not at least, there is a weak relationship between the ability and the local autonomy of grass-roots finance correlation. Attaching importance to the construction of sub-abilities in local government governance ability and assisting the local government's social governance ability with the financial policy will contribute to the improvement of the local government's social governance capacity. The promotion of local government governance capability is a long process. It needs local government to explore and perfect it in practice so as to improve its governance capability and to provide better service for society.

     

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