周美多, 张彭. 转移支付是否优化了财政社会保障支出:基于均等与增长的视角——基于25个省的县级数据的实证分析[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2016, 18(4): 13-24. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2016)04-0013-12
引用本文: 周美多, 张彭. 转移支付是否优化了财政社会保障支出:基于均等与增长的视角——基于25个省的县级数据的实证分析[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2016, 18(4): 13-24. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2016)04-0013-12
ZHOU Mei-duo, ZHANG Peng. Whether Transfer Payments Optimize the Fiscal Expenditures on Social Security: From the Perspective of Equalization and Growth——Based on the County Data of 25 Provinces in China[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2016, 18(4): 13-24. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2016)04-0013-12
Citation: ZHOU Mei-duo, ZHANG Peng. Whether Transfer Payments Optimize the Fiscal Expenditures on Social Security: From the Perspective of Equalization and Growth——Based on the County Data of 25 Provinces in China[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2016, 18(4): 13-24. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2016)04-0013-12

转移支付是否优化了财政社会保障支出:基于均等与增长的视角——基于25个省的县级数据的实证分析

Whether Transfer Payments Optimize the Fiscal Expenditures on Social Security: From the Perspective of Equalization and Growth——Based on the County Data of 25 Provinces in China

  • 摘要: 社会保障作为基层政府的一项公共服务职能,其支出的水平和辖区间均等化程度日益受到重视。然而,分税制以后,中国基层政府的财政支出越来越依赖于上级政府的转移支付。通过构建一个综合的分析框架,可以同时测量上级转移支付对县级政府财政性社会保障支出的“增长效应”和“均等效应”。2007年25个省的县级数据分析表明,转移支付对省内县级社保支出的“综合效应”在18个省表现为“均等-引致”型,而在其余7个省则表现为“均等-挤出”型。转移支付在各省对社保支出的优化作用不尽相同,需要针对不同的省情有的放矢地提出政策建议。

     

    Abstract: As an important public service of local government, the fiscal spending on social security and their equalization between areas are being taken more seriously. After the Tax-Sharing System Reform, the fiscal expenditure of local governments relies more and more on the transfers of superior governments. By constructing a comprehensive analysis framework, we can measure the "growth effect" and "equalization effect" of transfers on fiscal spending of social security. Applying this analysis framework and the county-level data of 25 provinces in 2007, we can draw the conclusion that, the comprehensive effect of transfers on social security spending showed "equalization and inducing effect" in 18 provinces and "equalization and crowding-out effect" in other 7 provinces. The optimization degrees of transfers on county social security spending differ in different provinces, so we need individualized policy suggestions which base on the evaluation framework and positive analysis to different provinces.

     

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