杨宝臣, 满佳程, 刘传泽, 苟泽浩. 碳排放权价格的政策效应:我国碳排放试点的经验证据[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2018, 20(1): 7-14. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2017)-1007
引用本文: 杨宝臣, 满佳程, 刘传泽, 苟泽浩. 碳排放权价格的政策效应:我国碳排放试点的经验证据[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2018, 20(1): 7-14. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2017)-1007
YANG Bao-chen, MAN Jia-cheng, LIU Chuan-ze, GOU Ze-hao. Policy Effects of CO2 ETS on Its Carbon Price: Evidence From Chinese Pilot Regions[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2018, 20(1): 7-14. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2017)-1007
Citation: YANG Bao-chen, MAN Jia-cheng, LIU Chuan-ze, GOU Ze-hao. Policy Effects of CO2 ETS on Its Carbon Price: Evidence From Chinese Pilot Regions[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2018, 20(1): 7-14. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2017)-1007

碳排放权价格的政策效应:我国碳排放试点的经验证据

Policy Effects of CO2 ETS on Its Carbon Price: Evidence From Chinese Pilot Regions

  • 摘要: CO2排放交易体系是解决温室气体排放急剧增长的重要市场工具。我国的7个碳排放交易试点的运行为全国统一碳排放市场的建设提供了经验,因此分析试点的碳价决定因素具有借鉴意义。选择经济、能源、天气和配额特征等关键因素作为控制变量,用双重差分模型的方法分别研究了碳市场中的3种政策,包括拍卖、市场多元参与者和碳排放远期交易。结果显示这些政策在价格发现和维持价格稳定的过程中起到了很大的作用。拍卖驱动着市场价格不断地接近拍卖成交价。碳价与非控排主体的参与呈负相关关系,与碳远期的引入也呈负相关关系,所有显著的变量在一起可以反映试点的大部分价格信息。

     

    Abstract: This paper aims at giving some policy recommendations on the design of China’s National Emissions Trading Scheme (CN ETS). China’s Carbon Emissions Trading Pilots (C-CETPs) show experience for CN ETS, so it is important to analyze the determinants of the prices in C-CETPs. We use the difference-in-differences (DID) approach to study various policies respectively, including auction, market participants, and carbon forward. Results show that these policies play a big role in the price discovery and stabilization. Auction drives the market price to approach the auction completion price. Carbon price exhibits a negative sensitivity to non-regulated entities’ participation and carbon forward.

     

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