郭海湘, 姚鑫, 朱坚, 侯俊东. 基于案例推理的公共卫生事件应急参考方案生成研究[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2021, 23(3): 39-47. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2020)-4016
引用本文: 郭海湘, 姚鑫, 朱坚, 侯俊东. 基于案例推理的公共卫生事件应急参考方案生成研究[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2021, 23(3): 39-47. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2020)-4016
GUO Hai-xiang, YAO Xin, ZHU Jian, HOU Jun-dong. Study on Making Public Health Emergency Reference Plan with Case-based Reasoning[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2021, 23(3): 39-47. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2020)-4016
Citation: GUO Hai-xiang, YAO Xin, ZHU Jian, HOU Jun-dong. Study on Making Public Health Emergency Reference Plan with Case-based Reasoning[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2021, 23(3): 39-47. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2020)-4016

基于案例推理的公共卫生事件应急参考方案生成研究

Study on Making Public Health Emergency Reference Plan with Case-based Reasoning

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义突发公共卫生事件具有复杂性、突发性等特点,为了能够使决策者及时准确地借助以往类似的突发公共卫生事件的有效应急措施作为决策参考。
    设计/方法研究基于案例推理提出针对突发公共卫生事件的应急参考方案的生成方法。首先建立包含整个疫情阶段的突发公共卫生事件历史案例基因库;其次针对指标的不同数值分布特点进行区间划分,并计算所涉及阶段的重复度;最终计算综合相似度,得到可供参考的应急参考方案。
    结论/发现以新型冠状病毒肺炎为例,建立了历史案例基因库,对不同指标分布重心进行考虑,最终匹配到最符合实际的应急参考方案,验证了该方法的有效性。

     

    Abstract: Purpose/Significance Due to the complexity and sudden nature of public health emergencies, it is important for decision makers to timely and accurately use effective emergency measures of similar public health emergencies in the past as a reference for decision-making. Design/Methodology This study proposes a method to make an emergency reference plan for public health emergencies based on case-based reasoning. First, a gene bank for public health emergency history that covers the entire phase of COVID-19 is established. Second, the interval is divided according to the characteristics of different numerical distribution of the index, and the repetition of the stages involved is calculated. Finally, the comprehensive similarity is calculated and an emergency reference plan is made. Findings/Conclusions Taking COVID-19 as an example, this paper establishes a gene bank for COVID-19 history, considers the distribution focus of different indexes, and finally matches the most practical emergency reference plan, thereby verifying the effectiveness of the method.

     

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