李小胜, 时辰, 张思思. 环境政策工具选择对空气质量影响的久期分析——来自杭州“G20峰会”的证据[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2022, 24(2): 39-46, 56. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2020)-4019
引用本文: 李小胜, 时辰, 张思思. 环境政策工具选择对空气质量影响的久期分析——来自杭州“G20峰会”的证据[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2022, 24(2): 39-46, 56. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2020)-4019
LI Xiao-sheng, SHI Chen, ZHANG Si-si. Duration Analysis of the Impact of Environmental Policy Tool Selection on Air Quality——Evidence from the Hangzhou “G20 Summit”[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2022, 24(2): 39-46, 56. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2020)-4019
Citation: LI Xiao-sheng, SHI Chen, ZHANG Si-si. Duration Analysis of the Impact of Environmental Policy Tool Selection on Air Quality——Evidence from the Hangzhou “G20 Summit”[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2022, 24(2): 39-46, 56. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2020)-4019

环境政策工具选择对空气质量影响的久期分析来自杭州“G20峰会”的证据

Duration Analysis of the Impact of Environmental Policy Tool Selection on Air QualityEvidence from the Hangzhou “G20 Summit”

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义合理的环境政策工具是保障可持续发展的重要依据。
    设计/方法运用双重差分法(DID)和基于倾向得分匹配后的双重差分法(PSM-DID),分析了2016年杭州召开“G20峰会”前实行的命令控制型环境政策对空气质量的影响。
    结论/发现(1)长期政策有效改善了空气质量,其效果明显好于短期政策,保障了“G20峰会”前后杭州市空气的优良品质;(2)长期政策创造的蓝天是稳定持续的,“G20峰会”前后空气质量未出现大的波动或反弹现象;(3)“G20峰会”长期政策具有长期效应,长期内空气质量保持良好水平,未出现恶化趋势。在考虑了共同趋势、不同污染物形式、更换不同样本以及选择不同模型后仍然稳健。

     

    Abstract: Purpose/Significance Reasonable environmental policy tools are the important basis for sustainable development. Design/Methodology In this paper, the Differences-in-Differences (DID) and the Propensity Score Matching-Differences-in-Differences (PSM-DID) based on the propensity score matching are used to analyze the impact of the command-controlled environmental policy on the air quality before the “G20 Summit” held in Hangzhou in 2016. Conclusions/Findings (1) The long-term policy has effectively improved air quality, and its effect is obviously better than the short-term policy, which guarantees the excellent quality of the air in Hangzhou before and after the “G20 Summit”. (2) The blue sky created by long-term policy is stable and continuous. There is no big fluctuation or rebound in air quality before and after the “G20 Summit”. (3) The long-term policy of the “G20 Summit” has a long-term effect. The air quality has been maintained at a good level for a long time, and there is no deterioration. The results of this paper are still robust after considering common trends, different forms of pollutants, changing different samples, and selecting different models.

     

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