徐选华, 侯宇舟. 大群体风险决策理论与方法研究现状及发展趋势[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2021, 23(4): 1-6, 74. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2021)-1003
引用本文: 徐选华, 侯宇舟. 大群体风险决策理论与方法研究现状及发展趋势[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2021, 23(4): 1-6, 74. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2021)-1003
XU Xuan-hua, HOU Yu-zhou. Research Status and Development Trend of Large Group Risk Decision-making Theory and Method[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2021, 23(4): 1-6, 74. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2021)-1003
Citation: XU Xuan-hua, HOU Yu-zhou. Research Status and Development Trend of Large Group Risk Decision-making Theory and Method[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2021, 23(4): 1-6, 74. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2021)-1003

大群体风险决策理论与方法研究现状及发展趋势

Research Status and Development Trend of Large Group Risk Decision-making Theory and Method

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义随着经济、社会的迅速发展,决策问题日益复杂,不确定性因素繁多,使得传统大群体决策理论与方法开始与风险决策理论相结合,发展为大群体风险决策理论与方法,成为当前国内外大群体决策研究的热点领域,更加贴近现实情境。
    设计/方法梳理了近年来大群体风险决策领域的主要研究成果,阐述了该研究领域面临的问题和挑战,并指出了大群体风险决策今后的发展趋势。
    结论/发现对于大群体风险决策领域,现有国内外文献的研究主要集中于大群体应急决策风险识别及感知、考虑决策成员风险态度的大群体风险决策、决策成员心理行为协调下的大群体风险决策和社会网络下的大群体风险决策、大数据背景下的大群体风险决策五个方面。在现有研究基础上,技术逐步发展,大数据环境下的、动态的、社会化的大群体风险决策为该领域带来新的挑战,值得进一步探索。

     

    Abstract: Purpose/Significance With the rapid development of the economy and society, decision-making issues are becoming more and more complex, which have many uncertain factors. As a result, traditional large group decision-making theory and method have begun to be combined with risk decision-making theory and developed into large group risk decision-making theory and method, which has become a hot field of large group decision-making research at home and abroad with broad application prospects in the real situation. Design/Methodology This paper combs the main research results in the field of large group risk decision-making in recent years, expounds on the problems and challenges faced in this research field, and points out the future development trend of large group risk decision-making. Conclusions/Findings In the field of large group risk decision-making, the existing domestic and foreign literature mainly focus on five aspects: the identification of large group emergency decision-making risks, the large group risk decision method considering the risk attitude of decision members, the large group risk decision method considering the psychological behavior of decision members, the large group risk decision method under the social network, and the large group risk decision method under the background of big data. On the basis of existing research and gradually developed technology, dynamic, socialized large group risk decision-making in the big data environment brings new challenges to this field and is worthy of further exploration.

     

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