吴士炜, 余文涛. 人口与经济集聚对雾霾污染影响研究——基于空间面板模型的实证检验[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2022, 24(2): 57-69. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2022)-5016
引用本文: 吴士炜, 余文涛. 人口与经济集聚对雾霾污染影响研究——基于空间面板模型的实证检验[J]. 电子科技大学学报社科版, 2022, 24(2): 57-69. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2022)-5016
WU Shi-wei, YU Wen-tao. The Effects of Population and Economic Agglomeration on Haze Pollution——An Empirical Analysis Based on Spatial Panel Date Model[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2022, 24(2): 57-69. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2022)-5016
Citation: WU Shi-wei, YU Wen-tao. The Effects of Population and Economic Agglomeration on Haze Pollution——An Empirical Analysis Based on Spatial Panel Date Model[J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION), 2022, 24(2): 57-69. DOI: 10.14071/j.1008-8105(2022)-5016

人口与经济集聚对雾霾污染影响研究基于空间面板模型的实证检验

The Effects of Population and Economic Agglomeration on Haze PollutionAn Empirical Analysis Based on Spatial Panel Date Model

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义人口与经济集聚是中国经济转向高质量发展的推动力,而生态环境作为高质量发展重要组成部分,如何协调好集聚与环境是实现可持续发展的关键。
    设计/方法基于扩展的生产密度函数,利用中国1998~2018年289个地级市面板数据,结合空间经济学相关理论,从一线城市、二三四线城市与五线城市视角考察人口与经济集聚对雾霾污染影响。
    结论/发现人口与经济集聚对雾霾污染影响呈N型曲线关系,说明城市化与工业化推进对雾霾污染呈现先促增后促减,当超过地区土地、环境与资源承载力时,会加剧雾霾污染。进一步考察发现,中等城市人口与经济集聚对雾霾污染影响呈倒U型曲线,而超大城市集聚对雾霾污染影响表现为正相关性。稳健性检验结果进一步验证上述结论。基于此,在发挥集聚规模经济效应促进高质量发展的同时,要注意地区环境承载力,且雾霾污染治理应以区域联治为主。

     

    Abstract: Purpose/Significance Population and economic agglomeration are power of high quality development in China. Since the ecological environment is an important part of high quality development, how to coordinate agglomeration and environment is the key to realize sustainable development. Design/Methodology Based on the extended out density function, and China’s 289 prefecture-level cities panel data from 1998 to 2018, combing with spatial economics theory, from first tier cities, second-third-fourth tier cities, fifth tier cities, perspective to test how population and economic agglomeration affect haze pollution. Conclusions/Findings There is an N shaped cure relationship between population agglomeration, economic agglomeration and haze pollution. It shows that the promotion of urbanization and industrialization first increase haze pollution then decrease, when it exceeds the carrying capacity of land, environment and resources will aggravate haze pollution. Furthermore, the relationship between population agglomeration, economic agglomeration and haze pollution in medium-sized cities presents an inverted U shaped cure, but the agglomeration and haze pollution in Mega cities presents positively. The robustness test results further verify the above conclusions. Based on this, when leveraging the effect of scale economy to promote high quality development, environmental carrying capacity should be paid attention to, and controling haze pollution should adapt to regional joint goverance.

     

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