国家数字经济发展水平测度、比较分析及中国的策略选择

Measurement and Comparative Analysis of the Development of National Digital Economy and China’s Strategic Choices

  • 摘要: 基于对数字经济发展特征的深入解析,从数字基础设施、数字创新环境、数字产业发展、数字发展效益四个维度构建国别可比的数字经济发展水平评价指标体系,借助定基极差纵横向拉开档次法对56个国家2000~2021年的数字经济发展水平从时间和空间双重维度进行综合评价和特征分析。研究发现:国家数字经济发展水平始终保持增长势头,数字基础设施是推动数字经济发展的主要力量。不同国家间的数字经济发展综合水平和子系统发展水平存在显著差距,发达国家特别是欧洲发达国家具有明显优势,发展中国家相对滞后,数字经济在快速发展的同时会产生“数字鸿沟”;但这种差距在时间维度上大致呈缩小态势,且发展中国家数字经济发展的年均增速整体处于较高水平,具有“追赶效应”。中国的数字经济发展水平表现不理想,但数字经济发展的年均增速最高,提升空间巨大。

     

    Abstract: Based on the analysis of development characteristics of the digital economy, this paper constructs a comparable evaluation index system of national digital economy development from four dimensions: digital infrastructure, digital innovation environment, digital industry development, and digital development benefits, and uses the fixed base range vertical and horizontal pull-off method to comprehensively evaluate and analyze the digital economy development of 56 countries from 2000 to 2021 from time and space dimensions.The results show that the national digital economy development has always maintained growing momentum, and digital infrastructure is the major force to promote the digital economy development. There are significant gaps in the comprehensive level of digital economic development and subsystem development level among different countries, with developed countries, especially those in Europe have obvious advantages, while developing countries are relatively lagging behind. The rapid development of the digital economy can lead to “digital divide”, but this gap is generally narrowing over time, and the annual average growth rate of digital economic development in developing countries is relatively high, have obvious “catch-up effect”. China’s digital economy development is not ideal, only the digital industry development performing relatively well, but the annual average growth rate of digital economy development is the highest, the space for improvement is enormous.

     

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