农业科技扶持对小农户持续增收效应的研究基于桂滇黔164000小农户样本的分析

The Effect of Agricultural Technology Support on Sustained Income Growth for Smallholder Farming Households: Evidence from Micro-Level Analysis in Guangxi, Yunnan, and Guizhou

  • 摘要: 本研究基于桂滇黔2021—2025年328个县级行政区、164000个小农户的微观面板数据,运用双向固定效应模型,实证检验农业科技扶持对小农户家庭人均纯收入增长的影响。研究发现:(1)科技扶持能显著促进增收。科技人才帮扶、项目支持和设施投入均对小农户收入增长率产生显著正向影响,其中设施投入的边际效应最大。(2)地形异质性效应突出。科技扶持效果因地貌类型而异,表现为盆地>丘陵>山地,支持技术推广需匹配地域资源结构的理论。(3)人力资本与区位也是重要调节因素。劳动技能和受教育年限能促进技术吸收能力,而偏远区位因市场接入成本高对技术溢出不利。(4)技术−地貌适配性影响推广优先级。通过“技术−地貌−收入弹性”路径识别出差异化策略:山地宜首要推广绿色防控与小型节水设备;丘陵关注节水灌溉与坡地农机;盆地适于智能农机与精准施肥。结论表明,农业科技扶持是桂滇黔农户增收的有效路径,但需围绕“地貌适配”,结合人力资本提升与区位劣势突破,执行“一地一策”精准扶持措施,以改善科技资源配置,推动乡村振兴。

     

    Abstract: Drawing on micro-panel data covering 328 county-level administrative units and 164000 smallholder households across Guangxi, Yunnan, and Guizhou during the period 2021–2025, this study employs a two-way fixed effects model to empirically examine the impact of agricultural technology support on per capita net income growth among smallholders. The findings reveal four principal results. First, technological assistance exerts a statistically significant positive effect on household income growth; specifically, technical personnel support, project-based interventions, and infrastructure investment all contribute significantly, with infrastructure investment demonstrating the largest marginal effect. Second, terrain heterogeneity plays a pronounced role: the effectiveness of technology support varies markedly by geomorphic type, exhibiting an efficacy ranking of basin > hilly terrain > mountainous region. This underscores the theoretical imperative that technology extension strategies must align with regional resource endowments. Third, human capital and locational attributes serve as critical moderating factors. Labor skills and years of schooling enhance technological absorption capacity, whereas remote locations impede spillover benefits due to elevated market access costs. Fourth, compatibility between technology types and topographic conditions influences prioritization in dissemination. Through the “technology–topography–income elasticity” pathway, differentiated strategies are identified: mountainous areas should prioritize integrated pest management and compact water-saving equipment; hilly zones merit emphasis on water-efficient irrigation systems and slope-adapted machinery; basins are best suited for intelligent agricultural machinery and precision fertilization technologies. In conclusion, agricultural technology support constitutes an effective avenue for sustaining income gains among smallholders in Guangxi, Yunnan, and Guizhou. Nevertheless, maximizing its impact necessitates a terrain-specific approach that synergizes human capital enhancement with targeted mitigation of locational disadvantages. Precision interventions—such as deploying science and technology commissioners in mountainous counties or allocating high-tech projects to basins—should be implemented to optimize the allocation of technological resources and advance rural revitalization.

     

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